PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-08-04
Resolves by
https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.045. down 0.090 over the period, from 0.135. Range 0.004 to 0.255. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0463434
0.0473266
0.048100166
0.04927193
0.050100293
0.051100393
0.052200593
0.053200793
0.055200993
0.059551,048
0.0602001,248
0.0626001,848

Spread0.001Mid0.045

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0458888
0.04430117
0.042121238
0.041100338
0.039110448
0.038216664
0.036100764
0.035200964
0.0345001,464
0.0312111,675
0.02891,684
0.0271501,834

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9558888
0.95630117
0.958121238
0.959100338
0.961110448
0.962216664
0.964100764
0.965200964
0.9665001,464
0.9692111,675
0.97291,684
0.9731501,834

Spread0.001Mid0.954

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9543434
0.9533266
0.952100166
0.95127193
0.950100293
0.949100393
0.948200593
0.947200793
0.945200993
0.941551,048
0.9402001,248
0.9386001,848

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
alohaaYes30,000
lox97Yes20,649.75
Mac-GyverYes18,993.65
LinaBell🦊Yes7,582
Kaiji123Yes6,716.21
smalltimezzzYes6,275.58
0xaea825a7eaafa49b59b61af8f376923dc1e4ffYes6,000.38
hetaczYes5,883.99
fghsrthrhrshrsthYes5,000
blox11Yes4,908.02
PrexpectYes3,897.64
RickRockRickYes3,700
Romeo005Yes3,687.47
0xE1a36f6D9F8D14a6237134067aBE3830C87B24EA-1775598809791Yes3,333.33
0x616757230CFe930B016C4cde0620f58F6edE4447-1777974223801Yes3,099.1
a-tomatoYes3,000
SugarinaYes3,000
0x146fb4c5Yes3,000
0xf452408fAa1A0eEDAd591f65D8F5F5c7bbC58FF9-1764228314605Yes2,823.72
0xd676535f347C3Be8A531bf08Ff1Bd417c530A859-1777974700203Yes2,811

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
23:09:00SELLYes0.0456$0.27
23:09:00SELLYes0.0456$0.27
23:09:00BUYYes0.043823265449$19.70
23:01:18BUYNo0.962184$177.01
23:00:44BUYNo0.96110$9.61
23:00:35BUYNo0.96110$9.61
22:53:15BUYNo0.96138$36.52
22:52:50BUYNo0.961190$182.59
22:52:42BUYNo0.96124$23.06
22:50:24BUYNo0.96186$82.65
22:49:59BUYNo0.9610$9.60
22:49:41BUYNo0.9610$9.60
22:49:26BUYNo0.95938$36.84
22:49:11BUYNo0.95810$9.58
22:49:02BUYNo0.95810$9.58
22:48:56BUYNo0.95815$14.37
22:45:51BUYYes0.04488100$4.49
22:44:32BUYNo0.95710$9.57
22:42:50BUYNo0.958137$131.24
22:42:27BUYNo0.95610$9.55
22:41:59BUYNo0.95510$9.55
22:41:53BUYNo0.95510$9.55
22:41:48BUYNo0.95510$9.55
22:41:42BUYNo0.95530$28.65
22:41:32BUYNo0.95510$9.55