derm0rx
0xe25ed4763c2099b6bff403286e3929d2cad13f31
- Realised P&L
- $312.33
- Volume
- $7.3k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $716.63
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.67at 0.750Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
- +$60.91at 0.330Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
- +$56.67at 0.431Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?
- +$42.63at 0.190US strike on Syria by December 31?
- +$39.49at 0.540Another EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 02:18 | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 02:07 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 02:01 | US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? | SELL | 0.29 | $11.09 |
| 08-02 02:00 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | SELL | 0.2778833883 | $12.63 |
| 07-31 22:33 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.3299999886 | $15.00 |
| 07-26 11:59 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.5999999976 | $50.00 |
| 07-26 11:58 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999927 | $100.00 |
| 07-26 10:34 | US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? | BUY | 0.3921568627 | $15.00 |
| 07-26 10:34 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31? | SELL | 0.32 | $65.60 |
| 07-18 19:03 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 10:34 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.679187336 | $100.00 |
| 07-04 10:31 | Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4093178008 | $30.00 |
| 07-04 10:28 | Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31? | BUY | 0.1907474758 | $15.00 |
| 07-04 10:28 | Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7788065735 | $117.53 |
| 07-01 10:28 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31? | BUY | 0.487804878 | $100.00 |