PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

derm0rx

0xe25ed4763c2099b6bff403286e3929d2cad13f31

Realised P&L
$312.33
Volume
$7.3k
Markets traded
55
Open portfolio
$716.63

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded55
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample44 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · No0.6840.800$117.02+$17.02
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · No0.6790.775$114.11+$14.11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · No0.7600.775$101.97+$1.97
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6700.655$97.76$2.24
X banned in any European country by December 31? · No0.4290.835$97.25+$47.25
Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026? · No0.6600.580$87.88$12.12
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · Yes0.6000.685$57.08+$7.08
Will Ricardo Ruiz Velasco be arrested in 2026? · No0.4810.520$37.81+$2.81
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.115$5.75$4.25
Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31? · No0.1910.000$0.00$15.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? · No0.1500.000$0.00$10.00
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by July 31, 2026? · No0.4090.000$0.00$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 02:18Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?BUY0.2$10.00
08-02 02:07Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6699999993$100.00
08-02 02:01US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?SELL0.29$11.09
08-02 02:00Israel closes its airspace by August 31?SELL0.2778833883$12.63
07-31 22:33Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.3299999886$15.00
07-26 11:59Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUY0.5999999976$50.00
07-26 11:58Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7599999927$100.00
07-26 10:34US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?BUY0.3921568627$15.00
07-26 10:34Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?SELL0.32$65.60
07-18 19:03Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?BUY0.1499999887$10.00
07-04 10:34Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?BUY0.679187336$100.00
07-04 10:31Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by July 31, 2026?BUY0.4093178008$30.00
07-04 10:28Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?BUY0.1907474758$15.00
07-04 10:28Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?SELL0.7788065735$117.53
07-01 10:28Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?BUY0.487804878$100.00