PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xe31b69A0d64C2483654CaE73F15C98836b6F5f28-1769024771862

0xe31b69a0d64c2483654cae73f15c98836b6f5f28

Realised P&L
$-2.1k
Volume
$234.3k
Markets traded
157
Open portfolio
$247.23

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded157
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3780.460$121.56+$21.56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3530.195$55.16$44.84
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.2050.055$26.80$73.20
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes0.0490.021$17.16$22.84
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.0900.100$11.11+$1.11
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? · Yes0.0700.073$10.50+$0.50
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · OpenAI0.2130.105$4.94$5.06
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$60.00
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$10.00
President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match? · Yes0.0640.000$0.00$20.00
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$10.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1620.000$0.00$30.00
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$10.00
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$30.00
GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-14 20:41Will France win on 2026-07-14?SELL0.0125$1.13
07-14 20:40Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.9104308384$110.00
07-14 19:21Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.2049999871$10.00
07-14 19:21Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.242499984$10.00
07-14 19:15Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.2974999974$50.00
07-13 18:20Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.0289999986$20.00
07-13 18:20Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.057208951$30.00
07-09 21:02Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.117499991$10.00
07-01 22:59Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.0899999919$10.00
07-01 22:58Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.0341698738$10.00
07-01 22:56Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.0899999919$10.00
07-01 22:56Israel closes its airspace by July 7?BUY0.0220000001$5.00
07-01 22:52Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?BUY0.0160306078$5.00
06-26 14:03Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.3779999984$100.00
06-19 11:25US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?BUY0.001$10.00