hobo69
0xe54d37c9c12e5fd3d684ff4d193ef1f44dabfdec
- Realised P&L
- $-76.7k
- Volume
- $4.38M
- Markets traded
- 3,052
- Open portfolio
- $4.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,052
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.1kat 0.188US strikes Iraq by February 28?
- +$6.6kat 0.845US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$5.4kat 0.606US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$4.8kat 0.816Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
- +$4.6kat 0.720Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 20:57 | LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $899.08 |
| 08-02 20:25 | LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.65 | $324.99 |
| 08-02 19:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 19:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 19:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | BUY | 0.8899999947 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 19:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 19:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.1299999467 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 19:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 19:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.1299999467 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 19:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 19:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 19:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | BUY | 0.6699999625 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 19:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 19:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.9253731247 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 19:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.8172703163 | $10.00 |