PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-07-31

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.001. down 0.041 over the period, from 0.042. Range 0.001 to 0.051. 154 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0012,4142,414
0.002502,464
0.0031952,659
0.0048773,536
0.0057364,272
0.0065074,779
0.0075,57710,356
0.00811110,467
0.01033310,800
0.01165311,452
0.01277712,229
0.01833312,562

SpreadMid

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

SpreadMid

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9992,4142,414
0.998502,464
0.9971952,659
0.9968773,536
0.9957364,272
0.9945074,779
0.9935,57710,356
0.99211110,467
0.99033310,800
0.98965311,452
0.98877712,229
0.98233312,562

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x25db6cA5935ae858A5c1F2dCD5c62939805328dE-1770665598557Yes18,553.05
eightpenguinsYes3,896.46
Mithrandir.Yes3,100
0xb08b…4b55Yes3,013.05
NadmiYes3,000
Ox4B7e1D3cA9825F0aC176bE29d830A54F12cD78a6Yes2,824.94
0x21F701A6d8febFd948F899114f2B9D9a8ef7e19F-1760280914378Yes2,819.99
Prince-of-PersiaYes2,222.01
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Yes2,177.91
tetroseYes1,801.21
fiterYes1,621.05
LornaPredictsYes1,199.08
0x9afc…314bYes1,189.01
KiruaTradingYes1,144.85
TrashGirlYes1,010.32
planktonXDYes966.86
0x5533…51baYes507.37
0x8c66E28FbE7Ede7F57bA6CBc70408DfF442944F3-1777220320442Yes459
RobertCZYes400
FrickYes400

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
01:05:53SELLNo0.999155$155.09
20:16:03SELLNo0.99930$30.27
13:26:15SELLNo0.99930$30.42
11:40:51SELLNo0.99934$34.45
23:14:47SELLNo0.999270$270.10
18:33:45SELLYes0.00101256981,566$1.59
18:16:29BUYNo0.99830$30.39
16:39:35SELLYes0.002700$1.40
15:43:12BUYNo0.997999949217$17.00
12:42:02SELLNo0.99713$13.42
09:22:20SELLYes0.002420$0.84
06:15:33BUYNo0.99810$10.00
06:07:36SELLNo0.9975$4.99
05:44:14SELLYes0.0021,400$2.80
03:54:02SELLNo0.997671$668.78
01:19:11BUYNo0.99799992813$12.50
22:45:50BUYNo0.99827$26.66
19:28:09SELLYes0.0021,300$2.60
18:53:39BUYNo0.99799988427$6.79
17:35:33BUYNo0.99799998830$30.10
16:29:36SELLYes0.003500$1.50
15:50:50SELLYes0.003275$0.82
15:18:06SELLYes0.004141$0.56
14:16:00SELLYes0.004798$3.19
14:12:26SELLYes0.00428259443,539$15.15