Giannis2026
0xe5b49b3b107cbf33f4e0644a9ee405596bf41e3e
- Realised P&L
- $51.5k
- Volume
- $560.7k
- Markets traded
- 338
- Open portfolio
- $48.5k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded338
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.7kat 0.920Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?
- +$9.0kat 0.377Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
- +$4.0kat 0.649Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
- +$2.5kat 0.291Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
- +$2.5kat 0.618Australian Open Men's: Eliot Spizzirri vs Jannik Sinner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 02:11 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $5.07 |
| 07-15 23:12 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | BUY | 0.73 | $365.00 |
| 07-15 21:52 | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BUY | 0.8419493784 | $94.14 |
| 07-08 15:44 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $880.00 |
| 06-30 03:02 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $335.80 |
| 06-28 05:24 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.0k |
| 06-26 04:52 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $254.48 |
| 06-23 03:56 | Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.0209123247 | $1.83 |
| 06-19 06:57 | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $494.51 |
| 06-13 16:32 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | SELL | 0.9910600012 | $495.52 |
| 06-13 04:39 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | SELL | 0.996 | $497.99 |
| 06-09 06:17 | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.993 | $301.86 |
| 06-08 20:37 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | SELL | 0.99 | $445.50 |
| 06-08 16:30 | Set Handicap: Moutet (-1.5) vs Kyrgios (+1.5) | BUY | 0.43 | $12.90 |
| 06-08 16:23 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | SELL | 0.99 | $445.50 |