PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Giannis2026

0xe5b49b3b107cbf33f4e0644a9ee405596bf41e3e

Realised P&L
$51.5k
Volume
$560.7k
Markets traded
338
Open portfolio
$48.5k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar9.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded338
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7000.805$5.2k+$684.55
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.8640.915$3.2k+$177.50
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No0.6020.875$3.1k+$978.63
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.5810.705$2.8k+$496.03
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8480.875$2.7k+$80.84
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7200.905$2.3k+$462.50
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.7210.905$1.9k+$385.50
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.5950.925$1.8k+$659.99
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No0.7850.885$1.8k+$200.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8770.875$1.8k$5.00
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.8150.745$1.5k$140.00
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · No0.8330.954$1.4k+$181.00
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · No0.7400.910$1.4k+$255.00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.6850.843$1.3k+$252.00
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · No0.7670.880$1.3k+$169.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 02:11Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.67$5.07
07-15 23:12Iran full airspace closure by July 31?BUY0.73$365.00
07-15 21:52Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?BUY0.8419493784$94.14
07-08 15:44US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.88$880.00
06-30 03:02Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?SELL0.999$335.80
06-28 05:24US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?SELL0.998$1.0k
06-26 04:52Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?SELL0.998$254.48
06-23 03:56Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?SELL0.0209123247$1.83
06-19 06:57Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.997$494.51
06-13 16:32Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?SELL0.9910600012$495.52
06-13 04:39Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?SELL0.996$497.99
06-09 06:17Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.993$301.86
06-08 20:37Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?SELL0.99$445.50
06-08 16:30Set Handicap: Moutet (-1.5) vs Kyrgios (+1.5)BUY0.43$12.90
06-08 16:23Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?SELL0.99$445.50