PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

tiger11

0xe821d597d53bb282e03bcc63fde018c8f6b9b27e

Realised P&L
$-5.1k
Volume
$14.63M
Markets traded
3,723
Open portfolio
$15.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,723
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.0460.041$1.6k$212.45
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0420.041$1.1k$32.49
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0280.029$733.00+$18.98
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1560.135$635.49$99.15
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.006$580.71$141.25
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0230.018$468.53$122.15
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0320.025$464.03$134.88
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1030.080$445.04$127.50
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0170.018$414.55+$27.56
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0750.065$407.71$65.29
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0300.025$393.38$89.90
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0130.012$367.03$20.22
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0780.045$363.69$266.63
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0260.032$352.74+$65.56
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0240.022$345.83$24.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 02:02Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.918$5.51
08-03 02:02Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.918$5.51
08-02 12:53Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.011$2.84
08-02 12:50Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.011$2.84
08-02 12:47Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.011$2.84
08-02 12:45Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.011$2.84
08-02 12:42Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0125584496$3.24
08-02 09:27Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.031$0.94
08-02 02:55Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.0307097345$3.47
08-02 02:52Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.0281491647$1.89
08-01 19:32Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.871$9.58
08-01 19:30Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.871$9.58
08-01 15:19Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.013$13.97
08-01 13:07Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.873$9.60
07-31 16:56Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.87$9.57