PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Revered

0xe8795bd3d265b046b9c4822c9fd06ea391dc6d22

Realised P&L
$13.3k
Volume
$848.2k
Markets traded
523
Open portfolio
$3.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded523
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3200.365$730.00+$90.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.245$612.50+$87.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4500.575$575.00+$125.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? · Yes0.6100.675$553.50+$53.30
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? · No0.5400.615$307.49+$37.50
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · No0.8580.694$234.81$55.66
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? · No0.9200.973$97.30+$5.30
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7420.785$85.35+$4.72
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.9540.956$77.05+$0.12
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.2600.350$65.45+$16.83
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.6400.385$35.66$23.62
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.925$23.13+$0.38
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.8500.865$19.70+$0.35
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? · No0.9691.000$7.74+$0.24
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6400.685$3.42+$0.22

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 17:32Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?SELL0.5436298149$108.67
08-01 15:57Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?BUY0.61$108.74
08-01 06:34Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.8$258.66
08-01 06:27Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.83$239.95
07-31 02:30Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.91$797.60
07-29 19:56Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?BUY0.9$442.00
07-29 19:53Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.82$215.74
07-29 19:53Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?BUY0.951$63.09
07-29 19:52Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?BUY0.9$450.00
07-29 19:52Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?BUY0.948$47.40
07-29 19:49Iran full airspace closure by July 31?BUY0.9195876061$773.72
07-29 17:14Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.9196670404$783.00
07-29 16:39Iran full airspace closure by July 31?BUY0.905$28.05
07-29 01:13Iran full airspace closure by July 31?BUY0.9190560463$60.35
07-27 23:44Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?BUY0.96$768.00