Revered
0xe8795bd3d265b046b9c4822c9fd06ea391dc6d22
- Realised P&L
- $13.3k
- Volume
- $848.2k
- Markets traded
- 523
- Open portfolio
- $3.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded523
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.3kat 0.298MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$6.4kat 0.512US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$3.1kat 0.675US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
- +$1.8kat 0.293Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
- +$942.54at 0.882Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 17:32 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5436298149 | $108.67 |
| 08-01 15:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? | BUY | 0.61 | $108.74 |
| 08-01 06:34 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.8 | $258.66 |
| 08-01 06:27 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.83 | $239.95 |
| 07-31 02:30 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.91 | $797.60 |
| 07-29 19:56 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $442.00 |
| 07-29 19:53 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.82 | $215.74 |
| 07-29 19:53 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30? | BUY | 0.951 | $63.09 |
| 07-29 19:52 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $450.00 |
| 07-29 19:52 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30? | BUY | 0.948 | $47.40 |
| 07-29 19:49 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | BUY | 0.9195876061 | $773.72 |
| 07-29 17:14 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.9196670404 | $783.00 |
| 07-29 16:39 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | BUY | 0.905 | $28.05 |
| 07-29 01:13 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | BUY | 0.9190560463 | $60.35 |
| 07-27 23:44 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30? | BUY | 0.96 | $768.00 |