PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Iax

0xe8a2057abd53d285f7bea590b8f1dff1f04454c2

Realised P&L
$-5.2k
Volume
$2.62M
Markets traded
513
Open portfolio
$15.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded513
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 01:13Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.13$260.00
08-03 00:19Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?BUY0.049$450.31
08-01 19:49Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?BUY0.0899999972$29.00
08-01 19:44Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?SELL0.38$22.38
08-01 19:40Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.07$252.00
08-01 19:29Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?SELL0.63$97.65
08-01 19:29U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?SELL0.999$148.75
07-31 20:18Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?BUY0.06$720.00
07-31 19:42Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.15$717.90
07-31 14:57Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?BUY0.06$308.94
07-31 14:47US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.88$835.81
07-31 14:38GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.984$98.40
07-31 14:37GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.988$296.40
07-31 14:33GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.7037212223$117.68
07-31 14:18GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.1600347222$46.09