Iax
0xe8a2057abd53d285f7bea590b8f1dff1f04454c2
- Realised P&L
- $-5.2k
- Volume
- $2.62M
- Markets traded
- 513
- Open portfolio
- $15.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded513
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.4kat 0.180Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?
- +$3.9kat 0.114Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?
- +$2.3kat 0.245Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
- +$2.2kat 0.100Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$2.0kat 0.562US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 01:13 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $260.00 |
| 08-03 00:19 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.049 | $450.31 |
| 08-01 19:49 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.0899999972 | $29.00 |
| 08-01 19:44 | Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | SELL | 0.38 | $22.38 |
| 08-01 19:40 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.07 | $252.00 |
| 08-01 19:29 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $97.65 |
| 08-01 19:29 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $148.75 |
| 07-31 20:18 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.06 | $720.00 |
| 07-31 19:42 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $717.90 |
| 07-31 14:57 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.06 | $308.94 |
| 07-31 14:47 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.88 | $835.81 |
| 07-31 14:38 | GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.984 | $98.40 |
| 07-31 14:37 | GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.988 | $296.40 |
| 07-31 14:33 | GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.7037212223 | $117.68 |
| 07-31 14:18 | GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.1600347222 | $46.09 |