PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

xixixixixiix

0xec41bea5cba6366ec364ded806e24ee1a3e91134

Realised P&L
$3.1k
Volume
$714.4k
Markets traded
2,082
Open portfolio
$4.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,082
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8520.960$1.3k+$150.90
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.7320.755$751.98+$22.47
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9050.955$668.16+$34.30
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.6660.655$541.75$9.37
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · Yes0.6500.865$301.66+$74.84
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6510.330$207.18$201.30
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.7300.825$165.00+$19.00
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees · New York Yankees0.5300.480$146.40$15.25
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? · No0.8000.960$112.32+$18.74
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3600.290$70.25$17.00
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.5100.595$59.50+$8.50
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.2800.505$50.50+$22.50
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? · No0.6800.895$44.75+$10.75
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.6170.075$22.50$162.49
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026? · No0.8600.962$4.81+$0.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 11:32LoL: Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 4 WinnerBUY0.49$24.50
08-01 20:27Team Liquid vs GamerLegion: Draw (1-1)?SELL0.24$2.16
08-01 09:46Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs PlayTime - Game 1 WinnerSELL0.38$2.63
07-31 18:11Team Liquid to win 2-0?BUY0.88$9.39
07-31 18:08Team Liquid to win 2-0?BUY0.8$4.80
07-31 17:56Team Liquid to win 2-0?SELL0.8990909091$9.89
07-31 17:54Team Liquid to win 2-0?BUY0.9$9.90
07-31 13:45Vici Gaming to win 2-0?SELL0.11$0.99
07-30 17:12Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.37$37.00
07-30 17:11Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.38$38.00
07-30 11:521win to win 2-0?SELL0.999$99.90
07-24 15:16Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierBUY0.86$111.65
07-15 16:38Spread: England (-1.5)BUY0.155$20.15
07-15 16:35Will England win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3625$22.47
07-12 10:44Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.16$16.00