PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xec4ddb228b18c52b1093cf43b1b834584450be21

Realised P&L
$-5.7k
Volume
$54.2k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$3.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-10.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.2901.000$639.30+$453.91
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026? · Yes0.4201.000$638.63+$370.41
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting? · Yes0.2401.000$535.42+$406.92
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? · No0.1600.145$261.03$27.00
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting? · No0.2601.000$229.88+$170.11
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in July? · Yes0.5201.000$227.25+$109.08
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? · Yes0.4200.685$188.90+$73.08
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? · No0.1200.051$188.56$259.50
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election? · No0.1400.030$83.67$300.38
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting? · Yes0.1070.022$71.95$270.22
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting? · No0.1300.020$51.51$283.30
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · No0.2200.027$28.57$204.19
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? · No0.6501.000$5.00+$1.75
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes0.1200.001$0.89$212.47
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in July? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$104.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-13 14:12Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?BUY0.65$3.25
07-13 14:12Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.48$7.20
07-13 14:12Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in July?BUY0.16$112.01
07-13 14:12Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?BUY0.2$23.10
07-13 14:11Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?BUY0.16$41.12
07-13 14:11Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?BUY0.54$12.01
07-13 14:11Iran full airspace closure by July 31?BUY0.19$3.00
07-13 14:11Will Russia enter Serhiivka by July 31?BUY0.19$7.15
07-13 14:11Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?BUY0.13$16.90
07-13 14:11Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?BUY0.26$13.00
07-13 14:11Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?BUY0.22$45.76
07-13 14:11Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?BUY0.13$160.66
07-13 09:48Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.219$9.95
07-13 09:48Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.219999985$10.00