PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ITHINKTHISISGODLOVER

0xecf4d3d0a960f0f4460761fe4672a14479799979

Realised P&L
$16.5k
Volume
$1.69M
Markets traded
853
Open portfolio
$5.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded853
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · No0.4200.695$1.8k+$724.62
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.4770.425$758.22$92.44
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.5570.605$726.00+$58.00
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8700.875$656.25+$3.75
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? · No0.5800.780$342.09+$87.72
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-09 House seat? · No0.9100.902$270.75$2.25
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-09 House seat? · Yes0.9100.898$269.55$3.45
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? · Yes0.4900.425$260.19$39.67
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · No0.4800.430$215.00$25.00
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat? · Yes0.7600.775$205.86+$3.98
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-10 House seat? · Yes0.6200.640$31.16+$0.97
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat? · Yes0.1700.225$24.40+$5.96
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.850$16.09$0.76
Will the Republican Party win the NY-24 House seat? · No0.1400.140$14.40+$0.00
Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat? · No0.2200.160$6.34$2.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 03:17US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.59$236.00
08-02 20:16US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.54$432.00
08-02 02:30US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.47$94.00
08-02 02:19US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.54$225.72
08-02 02:17U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?SELL0.999$297.13
08-01 07:37U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.998$2.8k
07-31 16:25US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.09$107.26
07-30 17:18Will GameStop acquire eBay?SELL0.87$217.50
07-30 01:49Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-03 House seat?SELL0.91$364.00
07-30 01:43Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?SELL0.9853750094$394.14
07-30 01:40Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.7$350.00
07-30 01:38Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.6999999999$1.3k
07-29 14:00Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?SELL0.979$489.50
07-29 13:53Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?SELL0.7$210.00
07-29 13:49US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?SELL0.52$519.99