ITHINKTHISISGODLOVER
0xecf4d3d0a960f0f4460761fe4672a14479799979
- Realised P&L
- $16.5k
- Volume
- $1.69M
- Markets traded
- 853
- Open portfolio
- $5.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded853
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.1kat 0.446Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
- +$1.6kat 0.706Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$1.4kat 0.297Will Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get between 60m and 70m views in first 24 hours?
- +$1.3kat 0.827Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
- +$1.3kat 0.358Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:17 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.59 | $236.00 |
| 08-02 20:16 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.54 | $432.00 |
| 08-02 02:30 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.47 | $94.00 |
| 08-02 02:19 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.54 | $225.72 |
| 08-02 02:17 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $297.13 |
| 08-01 07:37 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.8k |
| 07-31 16:25 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $107.26 |
| 07-30 17:18 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.87 | $217.50 |
| 07-30 01:49 | Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-03 House seat? | SELL | 0.91 | $364.00 |
| 07-30 01:43 | Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | SELL | 0.9853750094 | $394.14 |
| 07-30 01:40 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.7 | $350.00 |
| 07-30 01:38 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.6999999999 | $1.3k |
| 07-29 14:00 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29? | SELL | 0.979 | $489.50 |
| 07-29 13:53 | Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | SELL | 0.7 | $210.00 |
| 07-29 13:49 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | SELL | 0.52 | $519.99 |