0x146fb4c5
0xef0d80a3431ec2fd3357a11442ea90256fb78733
- Realised P&L
- $-395.04
- Volume
- $2.23M
- Markets traded
- 685
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded685
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.0kat 0.117Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
- +$3.9kat 0.016Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
- +$3.7kat 0.063Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
- +$3.5kat 0.126Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
- +$2.8kat 0.057Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 13:01 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $300.00 |
| 08-02 12:00 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $3.00 |
| 08-01 13:55 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.0984684685 | $32.79 |
| 08-01 13:37 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $71.05 |
| 08-01 13:34 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.096900198 | $16.15 |
| 08-01 12:58 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.09123919 | $91.24 |
| 08-01 12:57 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.1736 | $86.80 |
| 08-01 12:57 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.173 | $173.00 |
| 07-31 21:55 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.0049484127 | $2.49 |
| 07-31 21:34 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.00436411 | $17.44 |
| 07-31 19:48 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.01994448 | $9.97 |
| 07-31 19:47 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.018512 | $9.26 |
| 07-31 19:47 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.0403061933 | $60.46 |
| 07-31 19:46 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.0177232704 | $14.09 |
| 07-31 19:46 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.01458105 | $14.58 |