Utp
0xef1dfe0b17c80c407431f9ff2870347a2f1b028e
- Realised P&L
- $-93.42
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 125
- Open portfolio
- $175.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded125
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$61.48at 0.179Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?
- +$11.62at 0.462England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$10.88at 0.315Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?
- +$10.70at 0.310Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?
- +$9.49at 0.470Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 05:38 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.2476722533 | $2.66 |
| 08-02 05:38 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $2.66 |
| 08-01 16:44 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999815 | $5.05 |
| 08-01 16:43 | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | SELL | 0.153 | $4.63 |
| 08-01 11:20 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 11:18 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 08-01 11:16 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.221111295 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 11:16 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 11:16 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 11:15 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.3375895735 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 11:15 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 11:13 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 11:13 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 11:13 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 11:12 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |