PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

glassred

0xf0fc2d0bf309f3c3cb6dbccde9d69968952cc715

Realised P&L
$4.7k
Volume
$16.53M
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0900.135$656.59+$217.86
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.003$300.00$180.00
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.003$234.24$140.54
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1120.041$36.62$64.68
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 5AM ET · Up0.9550.000$0.00$1.1k
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 12PM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00$14.05
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026? · No0.0020.000$0.00$11.56
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2AM ET · Up0.3700.000$0.00$11.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-27 10:32Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.003$0.69
07-21 08:11Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.003$150.27
07-21 08:03Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.004$31.00
07-21 08:00Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?SELL0.11$152.84
07-15 08:56Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.035$4.52
07-08 13:41Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.042$3.27
06-26 09:06Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.056$396.24
06-26 09:05Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.057$30.84
06-26 08:52Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.057$47.77
06-08 14:09Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.064$292.51
05-07 12:52Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.005$3.63
04-08 10:00Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.006$1.80
03-14 14:41Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.102$34.93
03-14 12:06Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.007$104.39
03-14 11:53Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.007$25.96