prov123
0xf1439cec1e9714edb84a526af10bee2ef6d34ef2
- Realised P&L
- $-125.06
- Volume
- $40.3k
- Markets traded
- 175
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded175
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.74at 0.660Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$58.45at 0.579Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 26?
- +$57.65at 0.500Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
- +$50.78at 0.640Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$50.36at 0.567Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 02:18 | Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31? | BUY | 0.6799999972 | $67.36 |
| 08-02 23:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on August 2? | BUY | 0.8 | $66.23 |
| 08-02 23:00 | US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? | SELL | 0.4 | $7.56 |
| 08-02 19:08 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.75 | $36.74 |
| 08-02 15:32 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | SELL | 0.89 | $132.13 |
| 08-02 09:25 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.7099999968 | $31.54 |
| 08-02 08:26 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.6299999882 | $17.06 |
| 08-02 06:08 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | SELL | 0.558 | $7.69 |
| 08-02 04:13 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $60.66 |
| 08-02 02:07 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.91 | $109.92 |
| 08-02 00:42 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | SELL | 0.58 | $37.10 |
| 08-02 00:41 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | SELL | 0.6055218855 | $35.97 |
| 08-02 00:33 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.94 | $8.40 |
| 08-02 00:31 | Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | BUY | 0.859999977 | $26.93 |
| 08-01 23:55 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | SELL | 0.7389825361 | $38.93 |