gopfan2
0xf2f6af4f27ec2dcf4072095ab804016e14cd5817
- Realised P&L
- $1.46M
- Volume
- $70.95M
- Markets traded
- 2,029
- Open portfolio
- $408.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,029
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$920.0kat 0.026Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?
- +$203.1kat 0.551Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$128.4kat 0.637Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
- +$111.1kat 0.240Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
- +$88.6kat 0.875Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 00:46 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.9795819175 | $56.3k |
| 08-02 00:41 | Will the 2026 Guinea-Bissau constitutional referendum pass? | BUY | 0.8255426357 | $212.99 |
| 07-29 13:30 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.58 | $3.5k |
| 07-29 13:05 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $585.30 |
| 07-29 13:04 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $73.09 |
| 07-19 12:29 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.967 | $75.5k |
| 07-18 23:21 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $215.70 |
| 07-18 22:32 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.469985 | $28.2k |
| 07-17 16:12 | Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $8.60 |
| 07-17 16:11 | Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | SELL | 0.001560766 | $7.14 |
| 07-17 16:10 | Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | SELL | 0.015 | $3.90 |
| 07-09 17:37 | Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.81 | $2.6k |
| 07-09 17:36 | Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.72 | $2.6k |
| 07-09 17:13 | Will SK Dinamo Tbilisi win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.51 | $3.6k |
| 07-09 14:50 | Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.28 | $98.40 |