PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Sardinianshepherd

0xf42f4a4211d058cd109d503cf13f7bcdfc82a6a7

Realised P&L
$80.0k
Volume
$3.81M
Markets traded
1,587
Open portfolio
$62.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,587
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7550.795$15.7k+$797.44
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.5970.770$8.7k+$2.0k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.7280.770$5.6k+$307.44
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · Yes0.5750.675$3.6k+$541.60
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8900.875$3.5k$60.00
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? · No0.9830.985$3.3k+$7.00
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8630.875$3.1k+$42.51
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.5570.795$2.4k+$730.70
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · Yes0.8510.982$2.3k+$305.02
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7720.905$2.3k+$332.52
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.6220.710$1.4k+$175.00
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? · No0.8370.860$1.3k+$35.00
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · No0.6380.740$1.2k+$165.43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.7600.765$1.1k+$6.97
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? · No0.8900.939$991.06+$51.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 23:06Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.982$608.84
08-02 23:03Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?SELL0.68$160.53
08-02 22:54Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?SELL0.78$308.37
08-02 22:53Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.8$1.6k
08-02 22:06Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.986$986.00
08-02 22:05Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.985$357.56
08-02 16:56Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.9647368902$590.74
08-02 14:39Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?BUY0.93$624.76
08-02 14:33Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.66$660.00
08-02 11:57Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.9$900.00
08-02 11:31Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.954$214.63
08-02 10:13Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.48548305$970.97
08-02 10:10Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.760525$760.52
08-02 10:09Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.89$890.00
08-02 10:06Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.89$890.00