PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

nada

0xf4f3476be6e5b2de3a7e1bc849ff4b047bef330d

Realised P&L
$-7.8k
Volume
$9.97M
Markets traded
184
Open portfolio
$35.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded184
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.4770.887$33.1k+$15.3k
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.8300.976$1.5k+$218.24
Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.5700.675$736.45+$114.56
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? · No0.5380.920$140.84+$58.47
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.5440.284$26.97$24.71
US recession in 2025? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00$67.66
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.4200.000$0.00$41.22
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00$14.23
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? · No0.5500.000$0.00$110.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-16 18:21Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.42$41.22
07-13 06:49England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.45$19.16
05-04 14:36Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?BUY0.55$50.65
05-04 14:35Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.5553769972$8.4k
05-04 05:02Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?BUY0.52$5.72
05-04 04:57Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?BUY0.544$51.68
04-29 16:16Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.524$176.06
04-29 16:16Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.5298855003$1.1k
04-20 04:36Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?BUY0.917326323$585.36
04-12 22:26Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.4338645967$1.1k
04-12 22:10Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.4234374033$1.1k
04-12 14:52Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.4013163469$2.5k
04-12 05:16Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.411$65.76
04-12 05:07Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.412$33.34
04-12 05:07Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.4095417501$3.4k