PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

NoSteinNoGate

0xff7ca9cd180d33119e653e3eb50555a3e2ccb233

Realised P&L
$49.5k
Volume
$5.99M
Markets traded
2,392
Open portfolio
$30.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,392
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · No0.7560.725$1.6k$69.80
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8700.875$1.3k+$7.32
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? · No0.9530.972$1.2k+$22.30
Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by July 31, 2026? · No0.9050.961$1.0k+$60.34
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? · Yes0.2270.240$1.0k+$52.73
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · Yes0.3810.220$864.14$633.88
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? · Yes0.9901.000$834.23+$7.53
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7720.856$806.96+$78.23
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes0.5900.585$780.78$6.67
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · No0.3500.375$762.51+$51.26
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? · No0.8120.885$713.00+$58.44
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7010.815$704.76+$98.50
Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5780.760$601.63+$143.78
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.1600.535$589.09+$413.44
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? · No0.9921.000$549.73+$4.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 23:15US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.46$231.44
08-02 23:13US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?SELL0.2100469361$45.11
08-02 23:08Will Iran target a Arab country on August 25, 2026?SELL0.84$16.80
08-02 23:05Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.87$1.3k
08-02 22:44Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?SELL0.69$20.70
08-02 22:43Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?SELL0.16$64.95
08-02 22:36US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?SELL0.31$48.60
08-02 22:34US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?SELL0.32$3.20
08-02 22:34US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?SELL0.32$3.20
08-02 22:33US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?SELL0.32$3.20
08-02 22:33US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?SELL0.32$3.20
08-02 22:33US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?SELL0.32$9.60
08-02 22:33US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?SELL0.32$9.89
08-02 22:33US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?SELL0.32$52.12
08-02 22:32US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?SELL0.1261632516$29.99