PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

truthteller

0x30e443872ddf63b2908a49f92cd690c304a55102

Realised P&L
$192.1k
Volume
$144.22M
Markets traded
2,426
Open portfolio
$34.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,426
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0330.093$14.6k+$9.4k
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2400.245$5.6k+$115.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? · Yes0.9961.000$4.3k+$15.00
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · Yes0.4940.655$2.9k+$705.37
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3900.405$1.3k+$46.89
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.1010.113$1.3k+$131.75
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2090.095$826.40$989.73
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0970.062$658.22$368.49
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? · No0.9910.988$653.46$2.27
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1710.155$588.33$60.37
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0100.009$540.53$43.64
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2400.205$348.35$59.47
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · No0.4610.435$308.41$18.74
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0290.022$300.25$93.73
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1140.080$233.89$99.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 20:37US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.52$1.4k
08-02 17:12US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.51$198.31
08-02 16:55Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.58$901.89
08-02 16:55Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.07$3.5k
08-02 16:32Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.9902272674$1.0k
08-02 16:32Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?SELL0.9796287481$2.2k
08-02 16:32Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?SELL0.960257389$2.3k
08-02 16:31Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?SELL0.981$2.2k
08-02 01:44Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?BUY0.996$4.3k
08-02 01:00US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.49$98.00
08-02 01:00US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.48$336.00
08-02 01:00US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.47$32.90
08-02 01:00US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.4881026333$1.5k
08-02 00:59US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.47$94.00
08-02 00:57Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.8$160.00