PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

LlamaLoco0000

0x93fb8127a1b21a112b11af936361225df0563e4a

Realised P&L
$356.8k
Volume
$26.66M
Markets traded
418
Open portfolio
$603.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded418
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration66.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3940.495$156.8k+$32.0k
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2480.230$65.5k$5.2k
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2220.130$49.7k$35.2k
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2130.255$40.4k+$6.6k
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.6960.699$36.0k+$138.96
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2700.245$34.4k$3.5k
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1080.130$29.8k+$5.0k
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1120.085$29.6k$9.4k
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1890.080$22.9k$31.1k
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.2870.075$22.8k$64.5k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2580.205$20.5k$5.3k
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.1870.110$13.0k$9.1k
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.3050.213$11.9k$5.1k
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.0670.077$8.6k+$1.2k
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · Yes0.6200.640$7.7k+$239.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 02:11Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.21$10.5k
08-02 02:10Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.21$10.5k
08-01 00:20NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.28$1.3k
08-01 00:01Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?BUY0.08$35.27
08-01 00:01Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?BUY0.079$347.78
07-31 23:55Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4$1.3k
07-31 22:04Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.27$6.13
07-30 15:35Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.35$5.8k
07-30 06:06Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.6938149199$9.8k
07-30 03:46Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.13$3.7k
07-30 02:34NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.27$1.35
07-29 20:51Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.21$3.5k
07-29 20:48Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.28$5.61
07-29 19:16China x Japan military clash before 2027?BUY0.08$206.85
07-29 02:06Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2403223475$269.29