PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794

0xb886580698ede4b18de3e446b2d8da8bcedd81b3

Realised P&L
$-10.2k
Volume
$142.99M
Markets traded
1,523
Open portfolio
$132.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,523
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration62.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2250.205$24.4k$2.4k
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0780.041$23.6k$21.8k
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.3340.230$16.9k$7.7k
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No0.3230.220$8.7k$4.1k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4200.345$8.6k$1.9k
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1730.135$7.3k$2.0k
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.1850.095$5.0k$4.8k
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1230.077$3.4k$2.0k
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.085$3.2k+$190.22
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.1160.045$2.2k$3.5k
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0140.006$2.0k$2.9k
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2260.185$1.9k$427.33
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1240.095$1.9k$584.00
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? · Yes0.2250.135$1.3k$868.32
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.006$1.2k$422.77

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 23:56Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.009$56.60
07-30 23:18Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.016$86.90
07-30 21:50Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.002$52.37
07-27 14:48Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.04$9.75
07-26 11:53Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.0794856434$1.5k
07-26 11:43China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.069$16.01
07-20 13:43Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.16$5.41
07-20 10:44Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?SELL0.05$0.55
07-20 10:44Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?SELL0.05$2.50
07-20 10:31Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.24$411.31
07-19 11:30Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?SELL0.002$2.91
07-18 23:55Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.2873626813$719.42
07-18 23:44Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.322$38.96
07-18 23:34Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.0041568445$17.41
07-18 23:04Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0089975495$47.73