arbokbro
0x0cc7d88b8890e876766666de07f8cad98778bc74
- Realised P&L
- $142.68
- Volume
- $46.9k
- Markets traded
- 93
- Open portfolio
- $246.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded93
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$86.97at 0.160Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$50.95at 0.628Will Trump say "Transgender" during Michigan remarks?
- +$48.88at 0.107Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$30.00at 0.250Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 16?
- +$18.02at 0.808Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 07:16 | Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $5.06 |
| 08-03 07:16 | Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $4.07 |
| 08-03 07:16 | Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.031 | $1.24 |
| 08-03 07:14 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 08-02 23:45 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.46 |
| 08-02 23:41 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.039 | $5.50 |
| 08-02 22:57 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m? | BUY | 0.0157913684 | $0.77 |
| 08-02 12:02 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m? | BUY | 0.039 | $0.58 |
| 08-02 11:58 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? | SELL | 0.958 | $60.35 |
| 08-02 05:08 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.62 |
| 08-02 05:08 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $5.43 |
| 08-02 04:55 | Will Dune: Messiah be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.02 | $6.02 |
| 08-02 04:53 | Will Dune: Messiah be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.01172 | $0.59 |
| 08-01 18:34 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0428569385 | $3.00 |
| 08-01 18:33 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.033 | $4.95 |