Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-10

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.016. down 0.011 over the period, from 0.028. Range 0.009 to 0.050. 167 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.022	90	90
0.023	500	590
0.024	510	1,100
0.028	1,000	2,100
0.029	2,451	4,551
0.030	50	4,601
0.034	500	5,101
0.039	140	5,241
0.040	100	5,341
0.045	150	5,491
0.048	239	5,730
0.050	1,050	6,780

Spread0.012Mid0.016

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.010	960	960
0.009	100	1,060
0.006	705	1,765
0.005	456	2,221
0.004	1,501	3,721
0.002	2,040	5,761
0.001	3,627	9,388

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.990	960	960
0.991	100	1,060
0.994	705	1,765
0.995	456	2,221
0.996	1,501	3,721
0.998	2,040	5,761
0.999	3,627	9,388

Spread0.012Mid0.984

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.978	90	90
0.977	500	590
0.976	510	1,100
0.972	1,000	2,100
0.971	2,451	4,551
0.970	50	4,601
0.966	500	5,101
0.961	140	5,241
0.960	100	5,341
0.955	150	5,491
0.952	239	5,730
0.950	1,050	6,780

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
sam52727482916	Yes	3,412.53
CDAP1	Yes	2,170.23
gibsmedats	Yes	1,567.66
ubergoy	Yes	1,278.59
xiaoaojiang	Yes	1,035
0xa0f2…1848	Yes	992
LornaPredicts	Yes	743.91
liq2	Yes	702.64
BA2027	Yes	608.78
cigarettes	Yes	596.34
donthackme	Yes	574.88
0x9687…1b7c	Yes	385
No-risk-no-bisc	Yes	359.36
HerrieDavis	Yes	339.99
0xc0545eb2b3f861E4aB65f09A538D209e6dCB585c-1760776957569	Yes	125
0x5c847a495Fc2CC40220Fcdf79f83f0bE9473B3A9-1776289008662	Yes	118.17
Jimmyneutrondu34	Yes	108.96
ma99	Yes	100
akunai	Yes	100
0xf7b04B9F750ECBebF869398e23d0F02507Dd3011-1780924818403	Yes	100

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
21:06:47	BUY	No	0.99	6	$5.93
00:28:36	SELL	Yes	0.016	24	$0.39
06:40:36	BUY	No	0.992	18	$17.36
09:03:30	BUY	No	0.991	30	$29.73
09:03:29	BUY	No	0.992	1	$1.07
09:03:24	BUY	No	0.991717	50	$49.59
09:03:24	BUY	No	0.991	6	$5.80
09:03:02	BUY	No	0.989	10	$9.89
06:53:30	BUY	Yes	0.029	5	$0.15
06:53:29	BUY	Yes	0.029	5	$0.15
06:53:24	BUY	Yes	0.029	5	$0.15
06:53:23	BUY	Yes	0.029	5	$0.15
06:53:20	BUY	Yes	0.029	5	$0.15
06:53:17	BUY	Yes	0.029	5	$0.15
06:53:11	BUY	Yes	0.029	5	$0.15
06:53:09	BUY	Yes	0.029	5	$0.15
06:53:08	BUY	Yes	0.029	5	$0.15
06:53:05	BUY	Yes	0.0288	5	$0.14
06:53:02	BUY	Yes	0.028	5	$0.14
06:52:59	BUY	Yes	0.028	5	$0.14
06:52:54	BUY	Yes	0.028	5	$0.14
06:52:53	BUY	Yes	0.028	5	$0.14
06:52:48	BUY	Yes	0.028	5	$0.14
06:52:47	BUY	Yes	0.028	5	$0.14
06:52:41	BUY	Yes	0.028	5	$0.14