PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

just-hanging-around

0x809205fb1c91f746b9703ca412c4fdd0435db8a2

Realised P&L
$-980.50
Volume
$591.7k
Markets traded
1,547
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,547
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration35.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.3100.595$229.07+$109.72
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? · Yes0.3770.580$169.96+$59.38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5350.405$146.00$47.06
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.9630.989$128.11+$3.25
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? · Yes0.6850.665$123.20$3.65
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.2700.445$111.25+$43.75
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.4450.425$103.68$4.93
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · No0.6240.890$85.08+$25.42
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? · No0.4440.590$79.47+$19.63
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.6650.887$65.07+$16.28
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? · Yes0.6600.625$62.50$3.50
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.5810.501$47.62$7.56
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.8200.945$47.25+$6.25
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? · No0.9580.969$43.54+$0.48
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.9800.999$43.26+$0.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 00:42Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.002$0.00
08-03 00:01Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.002$0.00
08-02 22:53Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.002$0.00
08-02 21:41Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.002$0.00
08-02 20:09Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.002$0.00
08-02 18:58Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.002$0.00
08-02 18:54Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.002$0.00
08-02 18:53Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.002$0.00
08-02 18:11Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.002$0.00
08-02 17:56Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.002$0.00
08-02 17:46Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.002$0.01
08-02 14:48Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.002$0.00
08-02 14:35Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.002$0.00
08-02 14:22Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.002$0.00
08-02 14:05Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.002$0.00