CW1975
0x0d7e9ddc0a0e6a7cd703ce8d1c0fd3b517a7cb13
- Realised P&L
- $12.8k
- Volume
- $2.18M
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $3.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.4kat 0.359Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
- +$569.37at 0.102Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$465.28at 0.840Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
- +$200.00at 0.100Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
- +$189.68at 0.023US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 20:30 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0111356274 | $3.76 |
| 08-02 17:39 | Trump out as President by August 31? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.47 |
| 08-02 17:34 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.013 | $9.20 |
| 08-02 17:33 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.012 | $1.49 |
| 08-02 16:56 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.014 | $0.27 |
| 08-02 16:54 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.013 | $16.16 |
| 08-02 16:45 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.015 | $2.13 |
| 08-02 16:45 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0150784 | $2.26 |
| 08-02 16:44 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.015 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 16:36 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.01 | $11.89 |
| 08-02 16:34 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.01 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 16:30 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.34 |
| 08-02 16:28 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.031 | $0.19 |
| 08-02 16:26 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.018 | $7.20 |
| 08-02 16:25 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.018 | $3.60 |