PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x020ee12d87dba8e0f1cab3f239c36295a68869c1

Realised P&L
$-133.51
Volume
$23.7k
Markets traded
311
Open portfolio
$121.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded311
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.2151.000$23.23+$18.23
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · No0.5260.995$13.24+$6.24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2000.195$12.26$0.31
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · Yes0.0060.005$11.07$0.92
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? · No0.7251.000$9.63+$2.64
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2610.250$3.53$0.15
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · Yes0.3890.606$3.12+$1.12
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.2100.605$2.88+$1.88
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31? · Yes0.6140.850$2.77+$0.77
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? · Yes0.8680.793$2.74$0.26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7190.805$2.10+$0.22
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.125$1.79+$0.79
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1350.089$1.32$0.68
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.0260.033$1.27+$0.27
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.1880.100$1.24$1.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 07:03Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.004989522$1.00
08-03 07:03Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.004$1.00
08-03 07:02Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.004$1.00
08-03 07:01Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.02$1.00
08-03 07:01Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.005$1.00
08-03 07:01Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.004$1.00
08-03 07:01Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.005$1.00
08-03 07:00Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.005$1.00
08-03 07:00Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.005$1.00
08-03 07:00Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.0090000001$1.00
08-03 07:00Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.01$1.00
08-03 06:41Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.7779998537$1.00
08-03 03:34Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31?BUY0.75$1.00
08-03 03:30Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by December 31?BUY0.75$1.00
08-03 03:30Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31?BUY0.52$1.00