PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Tnothcote

0x063ed952ab84272904467c5a6add3b5be81048d3

Realised P&L
$1.6k
Volume
$176.8k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$2.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.1240.110$841.70$104.29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.7400.765$621.17+$20.17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Yes0.1800.175$495.83$14.16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.5000.425$433.02$76.98
Will Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · Yes0.0800.075$104.06$6.94
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8300.875$51.41+$2.63
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? · Yes0.0020.001$29.19$70.80
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0370.043$25.74+$3.74
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0290.030$1.03+$0.03
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$12.00
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June? · Yes0.1120.000$0.00$403.32
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in June? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$90.00
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15? · No0.1900.000$0.00$121.32
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00$499.98
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$66.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 23:02Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
08-02 23:01Will Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?BUY0.08$10.00
08-02 22:59Will Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?BUY0.08$100.00
08-02 20:07Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.88$704.00
08-02 20:04Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.1799999997$510.00
08-02 20:03Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.1241678887$910.00
08-02 19:59Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.88$2.3k
08-02 15:43Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.1112380384$34.00
08-02 15:41Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
08-02 01:57Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.0289999724$1.00
08-01 07:51Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.8499994475$1.00
08-01 07:37Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.5299999899$10.00
08-01 02:05Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?BUY0.0017131751$100.00
07-31 16:48Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.5$500.00
07-26 02:55Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.7399999998$600.00