Tnothcote
0x063ed952ab84272904467c5a6add3b5be81048d3
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $176.8k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.840Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$1.1kat 0.967Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$277.53at 0.809US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
- +$179.99at 0.832Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
- +$21.08at 0.880Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:02 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 23:01 | Will Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 22:59 | Will Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | BUY | 0.08 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 20:07 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.88 | $704.00 |
| 08-02 20:04 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.1799999997 | $510.00 |
| 08-02 20:03 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.1241678887 | $910.00 |
| 08-02 19:59 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.88 | $2.3k |
| 08-02 15:43 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.1112380384 | $34.00 |
| 08-02 15:41 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 01:57 | Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0289999724 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 07:51 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.8499994475 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 07:37 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.5299999899 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 02:05 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? | BUY | 0.0017131751 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 16:48 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.5 | $500.00 |
| 07-26 02:55 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.7399999998 | $600.00 |