cheesymm
0x06d248d4f372601d24192284bff919a2c05dfb27
- Realised P&L
- $-3.2k
- Volume
- $1.08M
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $5.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$122.50at 0.510Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 164.5
- +$58.83at 0.634Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$37.21at 0.601Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
- +$36.40at 0.740Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
- +$22.96at 0.424Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 14:07 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.192 | $62.05 |
| 08-01 12:00 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.43 | $98.04 |
| 07-31 18:30 | Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | BUY | 0.022 | $8.61 |
| 07-31 13:29 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.082653913 | $30.42 |
| 07-30 05:35 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.40 |
| 07-29 23:55 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.37 | $93.24 |
| 07-29 21:56 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0228298824 | $8.93 |
| 07-29 16:56 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.031 | $6.20 |
| 07-29 14:11 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.43 | $98.04 |
| 07-28 22:34 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.031 | $12.02 |
| 07-28 14:20 | Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.14 | $48.16 |
| 07-28 13:19 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY | 0.027 | $10.51 |
| 07-27 08:40 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.17 | $56.44 |
| 07-26 23:31 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.34 | $89.76 |
| 07-26 03:32 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.914 | $9.14 |