PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Dondigidin

0x07b90f1e574b450a6a8a782f862d1a1e8f650fbb

Realised P&L
$6.3k
Volume
$911.1k
Markets traded
628
Open portfolio
$26.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded628
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8740.915$1.4k+$61.30
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.8590.915$915.01+$56.26
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8960.935$841.50+$35.37
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.8390.935$841.12+$85.91
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · No0.7340.775$774.99+$41.00
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.5760.635$508.01+$47.53
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · No0.8220.957$478.25+$67.25
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7230.745$477.31+$14.10
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yes0.8730.925$462.50+$25.79
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · No0.7830.885$442.50+$51.07
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No0.6940.815$407.45+$60.45
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · Yes0.6340.790$395.29+$77.96
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? · No0.8020.805$391.57+$1.46
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · No0.8300.952$380.80+$48.80
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.8400.890$356.00+$20.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 06:28Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?BUY0.34$1.70
08-02 11:25US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?SELL0.19$19.00
08-02 11:17US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.42$42.00
08-02 09:12Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?SELL0.75$50.41
08-02 08:55Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?BUY0.56$114.54
08-01 15:59Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.51$51.00
08-01 10:08Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?BUY0.36$10.80
08-01 10:07Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?BUY0.36$54.00
08-01 09:56Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?BUY0.281$14.05
08-01 09:29Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.82$41.00
08-01 09:29Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.67$67.00
07-31 08:25US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.32$64.00
07-31 08:16Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.61$30.50
07-31 08:12Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?SELL0.15$45.00
07-31 08:11Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?BUY0.66$66.00