Minecraft
0x094e3e7c5486ca7f5efd45de09857b873c70f10b
- Realised P&L
- $35.4k
- Volume
- $4.03M
- Markets traded
- 1,835
- Open portfolio
- $6.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,835
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$94.1kat 0.394Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$6.2kat 0.701Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
- +$5.7kat 0.004Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
- +$5.7kat 0.231Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
- +$4.0kat 0.967Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 03:49 | Will the announcers say "Euro" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.1 | $22.20 |
| 05-23 23:42 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.749304635 | $8.3k |
| 05-23 23:40 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.6295842436 | $7.4k |
| 05-23 23:39 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.6173214764 | $2.0k |
| 03-15 03:37 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.94494395 | $19.2k |
| 03-02 17:10 | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.964 | $439.33 |
| 03-02 17:10 | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | SELL | 0.989 | $439.12 |
| 02-28 04:03 | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.959 | $9.8k |
| 02-28 04:02 | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.041 | $22.76 |
| 02-28 04:02 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.9396175181 | $8.0k |
| 02-28 04:00 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.0620554414 | $34.44 |
| 01-25 21:44 | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $21.34 |
| 01-20 23:40 | Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage? | SELL | 0.938 | $34.22 |
| 01-20 23:40 | Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage? | SELL | 0.941 | $14.35 |
| 01-16 04:21 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.38 | $807.94 |