PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

.yumeko

0x0b13ffcfaa14fdf81196a961e1c5750b697a5957

Realised P&L
$34.7k
Volume
$2.12M
Markets traded
364
Open portfolio
$3.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded364
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration62.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.5800.535$1.8k$155.43
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1940.255$1.1k+$250.98
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.1990.110$195.43$158.06
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? · Yes0.1640.025$74.97$426.43
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0040.002$22.07$37.69
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0380.001$5.23$392.67
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2670.000$0.00$1.0k
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$559.09
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$496.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 21:55US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.58$1.8k
07-31 14:22Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0389841766$82.14
07-31 14:21Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0378861466$312.46
07-31 13:24Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?BUY0.033$2.41
07-29 11:57Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.003$158.10
07-27 16:52Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.244$3.7k
07-27 16:51Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.2448645137$2.3k
07-27 16:50Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.26$2.9k
07-27 11:56Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.15$49.00
07-22 19:35Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.009$100.80
07-22 15:30Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.009$200.07
07-18 19:28Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.048$204.08
07-18 19:24Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.046$92.37
07-15 17:45Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.17$326.40
07-15 14:39Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.0449973333$674.96