PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

hymolu

0x17e313bb9173febb23c865a2ef8a4e8e0eaf9ba5

Realised P&L
$73.4k
Volume
$1.66M
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$289.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · No0.9150.979$84.5k+$5.5k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8810.875$75.3k$547.23
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · No0.8260.955$28.7k+$3.9k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.7870.755$25.3k$1.1k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.9771.000$22.7k+$515.87
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? · No0.9830.973$20.1k$222.33
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.8110.890$15.0k+$1.3k
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? · No0.9651.000$4.2k+$145.52
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? · No0.9871.000$4.0k+$50.98
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? · Yes0.9620.991$3.5k+$102.16
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? · No0.9931.000$3.2k+$20.56
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? · No0.9650.990$2.5k+$62.47
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? · No0.7860.790$110.44+$0.60
Will there be between 28 and 30 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31? · No0.7300.635$50.80$7.60
Will there be between 25 and 27 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31? · No0.8250.900$43.74+$3.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 23:00Will there be between 37 and 39 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?BUY0.031$1.49
08-02 22:27Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?BUY0.78$78.00
08-02 22:14Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 0.5%?BUY0.09$5.04
08-02 21:20Will there be between 31 and 33 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?BUY0.21$32.28
08-02 03:08Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?SELL0.81$111.85
08-01 23:03Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?SELL0.86$34.21
08-01 22:35Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 0.5%?BUY0.61$36.60
08-01 19:32Will there be between 37 and 39 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?SELL0.86$18.21
08-01 19:32Will there be between 28 and 30 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?SELL0.73$9.42
08-01 19:07Will there be between 34 and 36 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?SELL0.81$8.46
08-01 06:49Will there be between 31 and 33 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?SELL0.19$0.81
08-01 06:34Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?BUY0.93$12.59
08-01 03:05Will there be 40 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?SELL0.06$0.29
08-01 02:43Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?SELL0.8738690826$3.5k
08-01 01:56Will there be between 31 and 33 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?SELL0.77$3.85