hymolu
0x17e313bb9173febb23c865a2ef8a4e8e0eaf9ba5
- Realised P&L
- $73.4k
- Volume
- $1.66M
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $289.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.3kat 0.929Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$28.1kat 0.811Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
- +$1.9kat 0.971Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
- +$321.68at 0.994Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
- +$31.30at 0.987Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:00 | Will there be between 37 and 39 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31? | BUY | 0.031 | $1.49 |
| 08-02 22:27 | Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? | BUY | 0.78 | $78.00 |
| 08-02 22:14 | Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 0.5%? | BUY | 0.09 | $5.04 |
| 08-02 21:20 | Will there be between 31 and 33 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31? | BUY | 0.21 | $32.28 |
| 08-02 03:08 | Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? | SELL | 0.81 | $111.85 |
| 08-01 23:03 | Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%? | SELL | 0.86 | $34.21 |
| 08-01 22:35 | Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 0.5%? | BUY | 0.61 | $36.60 |
| 08-01 19:32 | Will there be between 37 and 39 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31? | SELL | 0.86 | $18.21 |
| 08-01 19:32 | Will there be between 28 and 30 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31? | SELL | 0.73 | $9.42 |
| 08-01 19:07 | Will there be between 34 and 36 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31? | SELL | 0.81 | $8.46 |
| 08-01 06:49 | Will there be between 31 and 33 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.81 |
| 08-01 06:34 | Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31? | BUY | 0.93 | $12.59 |
| 08-01 03:05 | Will there be 40 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.29 |
| 08-01 02:43 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | SELL | 0.8738690826 | $3.5k |
| 08-01 01:56 | Will there be between 31 and 33 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31? | SELL | 0.77 | $3.85 |