iosuromero
0x2a8b77177c1bd8a26e00d98d1fb6bb35a2ab4484
- Realised P&L
- $-286.41
- Volume
- $48.0k
- Markets traded
- 274
- Open portfolio
- $70.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded274
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$65.99at 0.029MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
- +$62.80at 0.113Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$52.50at 0.160Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?
- +$21.93at 0.120Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$16.81at 0.472Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 14:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.359999946 | $4.00 |
| 07-24 14:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 07-24 14:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999983 | $3.00 |
| 07-24 14:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BUY | 0.119999952 | $2.00 |
| 07-24 14:05 | Will Trump say "Six Seven" in July? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 07-24 14:05 | Will Trump say "Uranium" in July? | BUY | 0.8299999792 | $2.00 |
| 07-24 14:05 | Will Trump say "Future President" in July? | BUY | 0.3499999475 | $3.00 |
| 07-24 14:03 | Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner? | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 07-24 14:03 | Will Trump say "Million," "Billion," or "Trillion" 20+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner? | BUY | 0.8334147997 | $2.00 |
| 07-24 14:03 | Will Trump say "Million," "Billion," or "Trillion" 20+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner? | BUY | 0.8299998672 | $3.00 |
| 07-24 14:02 | Will Trump say "Six Seven" during White House Correspondents Dinner? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.00 |
| 07-24 14:02 | Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during White House Correspondents Dinner? | BUY | 0.379999962 | $3.00 |
| 07-24 14:02 | Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner? | BUY | 0.76 | $2.00 |
| 07-24 14:01 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1492143265 | $2.00 |
| 07-24 14:01 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |