PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x33878fe42f2bd19f01421d857ff8652bcab9c3f7

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$152.5k
Markets traded
266
Open portfolio
$8.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded266
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.2350.605$1.1k+$693.86
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8020.805$1.0k+$3.14
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? · Yes0.5610.705$555.72+$113.27
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.6870.775$457.21+$51.81
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · No0.8290.955$344.09+$45.51
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · Yes0.6320.745$315.26+$47.90
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.7720.765$294.76$2.73
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · No0.9160.983$282.15+$19.06
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? · Yes0.6170.625$272.56+$3.35
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.4240.335$221.56$58.89
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8790.875$213.59$1.07
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8600.855$198.84$1.16
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.2830.465$187.17+$73.35
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · No0.6370.645$174.04+$2.06
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · Yes0.4000.260$159.33$85.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 04:49Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?SELL0.9$5.65
08-03 03:33Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?SELL0.65$0.40
08-03 02:55Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.769999989$3.49
08-03 02:47Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.7699998637$4.97
08-03 02:41Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.78$9.41
08-03 02:41Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.7799999851$9.40
08-03 02:37Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.7878869447$25.84
08-03 02:30Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?SELL0.88$15.04
08-03 02:24Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.8152052579$16.39
08-03 02:23Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.8$46.06
08-03 02:23US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?SELL0.2123107441$94.61
08-03 00:16US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.2123804338$68.75
08-02 23:21Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.76$45.60
08-02 23:21Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.7599999803$23.10
08-02 22:38Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.87$52.20