0x33878fe42f2bd19f01421d857ff8652bcab9c3f7
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $152.5k
- Markets traded
- 266
- Open portfolio
- $8.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded266
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.318US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$709.87at 0.363Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
- +$354.56at 0.255Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?
- +$269.53at 0.457Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
- +$258.13at 0.453Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 04:49 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | SELL | 0.9 | $5.65 |
| 08-03 03:33 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.65 | $0.40 |
| 08-03 02:55 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.769999989 | $3.49 |
| 08-03 02:47 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.7699998637 | $4.97 |
| 08-03 02:41 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $9.41 |
| 08-03 02:41 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999851 | $9.40 |
| 08-03 02:37 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.7878869447 | $25.84 |
| 08-03 02:30 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $15.04 |
| 08-03 02:24 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.8152052579 | $16.39 |
| 08-03 02:23 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $46.06 |
| 08-03 02:23 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.2123107441 | $94.61 |
| 08-03 00:16 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.2123804338 | $68.75 |
| 08-02 23:21 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.76 | $45.60 |
| 08-02 23:21 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.7599999803 | $23.10 |
| 08-02 22:38 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.87 | $52.20 |