SDODNDPD
0x3458ae6606828ed4d9666573e1585d9419efb5a7
- Realised P&L
- $11.1k
- Volume
- $1.09M
- Markets traded
- 3,096
- Open portfolio
- $13.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded3,096
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.8kat 0.611Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$2.8kat 0.590Houston Astros vs. Athletics
- +$2.7kat 0.777Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?
- +$2.1kat 0.765Texans vs. Patriots
- +$1.8kat 0.759Lakers vs. Mavericks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 19:40 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | BUY | 0.5199999983 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 16:55 | Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.948 | $210.14 |
| 08-01 16:55 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.967 | $313.20 |
| 08-01 15:25 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.025 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 15:23 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.9552047825 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 15:23 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7047146393 | $200.00 |
| 08-01 01:11 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $2.0k |
| 08-01 01:10 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.9066105458 | $1000.00 |
| 07-31 18:49 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.9399999999 | $300.00 |
| 07-31 18:14 | Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Playoffs | BUY | 0.8275174468 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 18:14 | Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 18:13 | Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs STATE (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Playoffs | BUY | 0.9 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 18:11 | Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs HOTU (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group A | BUY | 0.7875051286 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 18:11 | Counter-Strike: GenOne vs ENJOY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage | BUY | 0.8873379857 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 18:10 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.9779999999 | $100.00 |