PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

SDODNDPD

0x3458ae6606828ed4d9666573e1585d9419efb5a7

Realised P&L
$11.1k
Volume
$1.09M
Markets traded
3,096
Open portfolio
$13.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded3,096
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No0.8950.611$1.7k$794.21
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.9050.395$1.4k$1.8k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.8100.792$978.23$21.77
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8740.885$810.33+$10.33
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.9330.936$501.67+$1.67
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.2590.425$493.15+$193.16
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.8170.905$332.17+$32.17
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.6800.625$275.74$24.26
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? · No0.8501.000$235.18+$35.18
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.7990.935$233.94+$33.94
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.7770.905$233.01+$33.01
Will BP be acquired before 2027? · No0.8370.970$231.70+$31.70
Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.3200.675$210.94+$110.94
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9050.924$204.31+$4.31
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.6740.655$194.34$5.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 19:40Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.5199999983$100.00
08-01 16:55Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.948$210.14
08-01 16:55Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.967$313.20
08-01 15:25Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.025$10.00
08-01 15:23US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.9552047825$100.00
08-01 15:23US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.7047146393$200.00
08-01 01:11US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.91$2.0k
08-01 01:10US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.9066105458$1000.00
07-31 18:49Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.9399999999$300.00
07-31 18:14Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 PlayoffsBUY0.8275174468$100.00
07-31 18:14Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier PlayoffsBUY0.6699999993$100.00
07-31 18:13Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs STATE (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 PlayoffsBUY0.9$100.00
07-31 18:11Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs HOTU (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group ABUY0.7875051286$100.00
07-31 18:11Counter-Strike: GenOne vs ENJOY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group StageBUY0.8873379857$100.00
07-31 18:10Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 1?BUY0.9779999999$100.00