PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

whig

0x40cfb29411d29f4fa0908f2a121297042cccd21d

Realised P&L
$253.4k
Volume
$6.95M
Markets traded
787
Open portfolio
$143.2k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded787
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 21:42US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.45$1.1k
08-02 21:11Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.67$97.03
08-02 18:25Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BUY0.27$27.00
08-02 18:09Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?SELL0.4973991251$263.80
08-02 15:31Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?SELL0.2417667006$1.8k
08-02 15:29Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BUY0.3033709387$1.2k
08-02 15:17Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?SELL0.8725443064$1.3k
08-02 15:11Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?BUY0.8072372119$9.3k
08-02 04:01Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?BUY0.354088785$303.10
08-02 02:20Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?SELL0.07$35.00
08-02 01:58Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?SELL0.4464950068$1.7k
08-01 23:56Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?SELL0.0998365499$79.51
08-01 21:43Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.2200600004$1.1k
08-01 20:36Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?BUY0.996$12.0k
08-01 19:39Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.29$290.00