Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-06-30
Rewards: 100 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.222. up 0.153 over the period, from 0.069. Range 0.069 to 0.222. 166 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.230	5,100	5,100
0.231	444	5,544
0.232	650	6,194
0.235	10	6,204
0.236	130	6,334
0.240	6,777	13,110
0.249	45	13,155
0.250	41	13,197
0.253	10	13,207
0.262	50	13,257
0.263	171	13,428
0.273	195	13,623

Spread0.016Mid0.222

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.214	163	163
0.189	30	193
0.155	31	224
0.154	104	328
0.129	20	348
0.128	58	406
0.127	193	599
0.116	5	604
0.097	16	620
0.092	100	720
0.088	16	736
0.083	100	836

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.786	163	163
0.811	30	193
0.845	31	224
0.846	104	328
0.871	20	348
0.872	58	406
0.873	193	599
0.884	5	604
0.903	16	620
0.908	100	720
0.912	16	736
0.917	100	836

Spread0.016Mid0.778

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.770	5,100	5,100
0.769	444	5,544
0.768	650	6,194
0.765	10	6,204
0.764	130	6,334
0.760	6,777	13,110
0.751	45	13,155
0.750	41	13,197
0.747	10	13,207
0.738	50	13,257
0.737	171	13,428
0.727	195	13,623

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
VeganCyclist	Yes	6,286.69
BKno95	Yes	1,376.96
0x3958da5B33B6CB871fA7cBCECe3149096579830b-1782990484921	Yes	624
.Pan.	Yes	474.93
PaddyAlpha	Yes	423.45
aHjCz	Yes	374.73
Dr.PNL	Yes	307.92
LornaPredicts	Yes	289.78
stephansmith2004	Yes	250.97
xiaoaojiang	Yes	205
itsjustcheddar	Yes	187.96
Hugin-og-Munin	Yes	165
mantou11	Yes	120
0x04B3F873B003eba3774dF1E5e47A370d27Ee1B7E-1774574222951	Yes	116.57
sunnynotbunny	Yes	100
KimchiCapital	Yes	99.99
0x73a6FAaeCc9bf2687475CFF07407b0d092eed207-1772780100231	Yes	91.74
S888	Yes	75.93
chamby8	Yes	67.57
new-account-test222	Yes	40

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
15:32:18	BUY	Yes	0.193	78	$15.05
15:32:18	BUY	Yes	0.193	5	$0.97
15:17:42	SELL	No	0.815	2	$1.44
15:17:30	SELL	Yes	0.14775	108	$15.96
15:17:15	SELL	No	0.828	152	$126.26
15:17:15	SELL	No	0.828	2	$1.90
15:17:14	SELL	No	0.8725443064	1,525	$1330.59
13:09:06	BUY	Yes	0.108	100	$10.80
12:19:11	SELL	No	0.892	1	$0.97
10:38:14	BUY	Yes	0.108	5	$0.54
10:38:08	BUY	Yes	0.108	5	$0.54
10:38:00	BUY	Yes	0.108	5	$0.54
10:37:53	BUY	Yes	0.108	5	$0.54
08:21:18	BUY	Yes	0.108	100	$10.80
07:58:03	BUY	Yes	0.108	100	$10.80
07:23:21	BUY	Yes	0.1	5	$0.50
07:20:57	SELL	No	0.899	5	$4.50
07:20:54	BUY	Yes	0.1	5	$0.50
07:20:48	BUY	Yes	0.1	5	$0.50
07:20:41	BUY	Yes	0.1	5	$0.50
07:20:35	BUY	Yes	0.1	5	$0.50
07:20:29	BUY	Yes	0.1	5	$0.50
07:20:23	BUY	Yes	0.1	5	$0.50
07:20:17	BUY	Yes	0.1	5	$0.50
07:20:11	BUY	Yes	0.1	5	$0.50