evalso
0x4222e7062f044dcad6ae68a050e3434efa47aa99
- Realised P&L
- $-385.26
- Volume
- $21.1k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $564.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.07at 0.110Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?
- +$-5.98at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 15:18 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting? | BUY | 0.25 | $23.00 |
| 07-13 15:15 | Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting? | BUY | 0.0255612832 | $27.00 |
| 07-03 20:28 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $98.50 |
| 07-03 09:15 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $100.08 |
| 06-30 14:35 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.194 | $10.09 |
| 06-30 14:32 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.87 |
| 06-30 14:29 | Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $2.94 |
| 06-30 14:29 | Russia coup attempt in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.52 |
| 06-30 14:17 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $10.35 |
| 06-30 14:17 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $30.00 |
| 06-27 15:30 | Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $42.00 |
| 06-27 15:24 | Russia coup attempt in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.97 |
| 05-25 18:48 | Russia coup attempt in 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 05-25 18:46 | Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $8.10 |
| 05-25 18:39 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $29.90 |