PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

evalso

0x4222e7062f044dcad6ae68a050e3434efa47aa99

Realised P&L
$-385.26
Volume
$21.1k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$564.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes0.1100.085$154.16$45.92
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.085$130.39$69.69
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting? · Yes0.2501.000$92.00+$69.00
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1040.085$81.86$18.13
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1480.115$38.80$11.14
Russia coup attempt in 2026? · Yes0.1130.075$33.25$16.75
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0350.025$24.50$10.50
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0600.040$3.29$1.71
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1700.085$2.50$2.50
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? · Yes0.0930.022$2.38$7.72
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0900.085$0.94$0.06
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 · Mayweather0.6300.525$0.83$0.17
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$1.00
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$5.00
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0850.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-13 15:18Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?BUY0.25$23.00
07-13 15:15Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?BUY0.0255612832$27.00
07-03 20:28Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.1$98.50
07-03 09:15Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.12$100.08
06-30 14:35Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.194$10.09
06-30 14:32Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?SELL0.07$1.87
06-30 14:29Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?BUY0.21$2.94
06-30 14:29Russia coup attempt in 2026?BUY0.12$2.52
06-30 14:17Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.15$10.35
06-30 14:17Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.15$30.00
06-27 15:30Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?BUY0.14$42.00
06-27 15:24Russia coup attempt in 2026?BUY0.12$1.97
05-25 18:48Russia coup attempt in 2026?BUY0.09$9.00
05-25 18:46Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?BUY0.09$8.10
05-25 18:39Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.13$29.90