dex53
0x45e1535c178dcafb136aec8b7058f2129b695934
- Realised P&L
- $-35.6k
- Volume
- $7.24M
- Markets traded
- 4,046
- Open portfolio
- $93.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,046
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.2kat 0.907Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$8.6kat 0.802Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.4kat 0.811Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$3.8kat 0.842Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$2.2kat 0.919Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:08 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.721 | $3.60 |
| 08-02 22:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 08-02 22:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 21:41 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.931 | $4.66 |
| 08-02 05:23 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.931 | $6.68 |
| 08-02 04:18 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.947 | $15.22 |
| 08-02 03:28 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.964 | $19.75 |
| 08-02 03:20 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.943 | $4.71 |
| 08-01 04:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.966 | $12.17 |
| 08-01 00:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.962 | $43.29 |
| 07-31 22:22 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.953 | $370.60 |
| 07-31 22:14 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? | BUY | 0.9 | $17.69 |
| 07-31 17:51 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.971 | $4.85 |
| 07-31 12:59 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $218.67 |
| 07-31 11:23 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.963 | $4.81 |