PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Sandoval1553

0x493cef47ca12db5c08fb55747d6cd279ebdb953e

Realised P&L
$351.82
Volume
$204.2k
Markets traded
498
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded498
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.9971.000$799.60+$2.00
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.8300.905$98.46+$8.16
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.4700.395$47.40$9.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes0.3000.235$23.50$6.50
Weed rescheduled by December 31? · Yes0.2500.227$22.65$2.35
Will Baidu be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0020.030$21.74+$20.29
Anduril IPO before 2027? · Yes0.2400.065$21.58$58.27
Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.185$18.50$1.50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.9200.890$17.80$0.60
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.6000.575$17.25$0.75
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.140$16.80$3.60
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.1000.165$16.50+$6.50
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · No0.8000.789$15.79$0.21
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.075$15.06$5.02
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7500.745$14.90$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 20:32US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.8$16.00
08-02 20:20Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?SELL0.999$9.99
08-02 20:19Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?SELL0.999$19.98
08-02 20:18Will Baidu be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?SELL0.012$0.36
07-30 19:53Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?SELL0.996$9.96
07-30 19:53Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?SELL0.996$19.92
07-30 19:53Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?SELL0.997$19.92
07-30 19:53Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?SELL0.997$19.94
07-30 09:01U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.323$7.75
07-29 20:02Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.997$797.60
07-29 19:59Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?BUY0.94$9.39
07-29 09:50US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?SELL0.632$6.32
07-29 09:29Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?BUY0.96$9.60
07-27 18:25US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?BUY0.07$2.10
07-27 18:24US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?BUY0.07$2.80