PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

troim

0x4a2be7a7e6e3b41dc2de00706b4c09660ca9af20

Realised P&L
$86.4k
Volume
$28.04M
Markets traded
1,025
Open portfolio
$75.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,025
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.2870.590$9.5k+$4.9k
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · No0.5400.655$7.9k+$1.4k
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.6020.822$5.8k+$1.5k
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? · Yes0.5730.460$4.1k$1.0k
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.5600.635$3.8k+$450.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · Yes0.7931.000$3.0k+$618.50
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.7470.934$2.8k+$562.14
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? · No0.2420.655$2.6k+$1.7k
Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.3020.325$2.6k+$182.21
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.6880.805$2.4k+$352.47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2300.205$2.0k$249.99
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes0.5430.605$1.8k+$185.00
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4630.820$1.6k+$714.05
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.5060.795$1.6k+$577.28
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.1730.390$1.6k+$868.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 11:19Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?SELL0.8$442.84
07-30 21:17Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?BUY0.789$415.96
07-30 21:12U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.1809431333$108.57
07-30 09:16Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?BUY0.1045822679$41.31
07-29 21:10U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.231$3.62
07-29 01:54US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.48$10.80
07-28 22:18Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.23$10.19
07-28 22:09Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?SELL0.994$521.95
07-28 13:54US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.5599021252$643.11
07-28 13:53US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?SELL0.441$441.00
07-28 13:20US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.5400417213$177.20
07-27 18:55Will Trump say "Grocery" or "Dairy" during Michigan remarks?BUY0.56$448.00
07-27 18:39Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?BUY0.54$5.73
07-26 21:19US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?BUY0.4$400.00
07-26 20:29US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?SELL0.56$41.68