troim
0x4a2be7a7e6e3b41dc2de00706b4c09660ca9af20
- Realised P&L
- $86.4k
- Volume
- $28.04M
- Markets traded
- 1,025
- Open portfolio
- $75.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,025
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.9kat 0.528US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$18.6kat 0.476Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
- +$18.6kat 0.973Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$15.4kat 0.004MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$13.8kat 0.993MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 11:19 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.8 | $442.84 |
| 07-30 21:17 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.789 | $415.96 |
| 07-30 21:12 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.1809431333 | $108.57 |
| 07-30 09:16 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m? | BUY | 0.1045822679 | $41.31 |
| 07-29 21:10 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.231 | $3.62 |
| 07-29 01:54 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.48 | $10.80 |
| 07-28 22:18 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.23 | $10.19 |
| 07-28 22:09 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July? | SELL | 0.994 | $521.95 |
| 07-28 13:54 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.5599021252 | $643.11 |
| 07-28 13:53 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | SELL | 0.441 | $441.00 |
| 07-28 13:20 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.5400417213 | $177.20 |
| 07-27 18:55 | Will Trump say "Grocery" or "Dairy" during Michigan remarks? | BUY | 0.56 | $448.00 |
| 07-27 18:39 | Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.73 |
| 07-26 21:19 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15? | BUY | 0.4 | $400.00 |
| 07-26 20:29 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? | SELL | 0.56 | $41.68 |