PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x4e25605fd905e9972efc0f4d8814530c655cd7a7

Realised P&L
$292.5k
Volume
$69.67M
Markets traded
6,350
Open portfolio
$281.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,350
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration39.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8210.945$28.7k+$3.8k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5520.792$21.0k+$6.4k
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8180.935$19.0k+$2.4k
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? · No0.1620.959$14.4k+$12.0k
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.8130.955$12.2k+$1.8k
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · No0.8580.969$10.8k+$1.2k
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.2110.887$10.6k+$8.0k
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? · No0.2600.974$8.0k+$5.8k
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.8280.975$7.8k+$1.2k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.3670.207$7.8k$6.0k
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? · No0.8650.985$5.8k+$701.08
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.6010.685$5.7k+$701.35
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8940.960$5.6k+$382.96
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? · Yes0.8500.665$5.4k$1.5k
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? · No0.6420.962$5.3k+$1.8k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-12 16:34Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?BUY0.19$1.14
04-27 23:15Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?BUY0.095$2.02
04-27 23:15Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?BUY0.0949823187$112.65
04-27 21:33Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?BUY0.959$68.09
04-27 14:33US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?SELL0.35$249.59
04-26 16:10Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?SELL0.0387192284$59.74
04-26 14:55Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?SELL0.7995270571$2.8k
04-25 21:14Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?BUY0.84$150.34
04-23 04:18Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.001$2.50
04-23 03:56Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.3020286402$240.86
04-22 22:28Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.001$2.50
04-22 22:27Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.001$2.50
04-22 22:27Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.001$2.50
04-22 22:27Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.001$2.50
04-22 22:27Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.001$2.50