PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

eCash

0x62cf46cd4c3af254dccfc37a7f93de265b4b5826

Realised P&L
$179.3k
Volume
$8.54M
Markets traded
506
Open portfolio
$254.2k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded506
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.792$98.3k+$36.3k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.207$25.7k$36.3k
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8780.915$24.0k+$972.10
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.6940.925$20.5k+$5.1k
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · Yes0.5380.725$18.3k+$4.7k
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.8720.915$9.8k+$464.18
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · Yes0.3920.655$9.0k+$3.6k
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.2140.540$8.9k+$5.4k
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.7660.955$7.0k+$1.4k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.6120.770$6.7k+$1.4k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · Yes0.4790.675$5.9k+$1.7k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · Yes0.6650.992$3.6k+$1.2k
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · No0.5600.780$3.2k+$909.23
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.5480.804$2.4k+$769.09
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes0.5910.585$2.1k$23.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 13:47Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUY0.67$74.34
08-01 16:22US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?SELL0.36$73.04
08-01 16:08Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.55$2.75
08-01 14:17Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.67$914.91
08-01 11:33Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.6$93.00
08-01 11:04US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.08$28.36
07-30 04:15Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.64$422.40
07-29 19:45Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?BUY0.89$1.1k
07-29 19:05US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.25$253.75
07-28 15:52US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?SELL0.62$124.00
07-26 14:15US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?SELL0.562$145.04
07-26 14:12US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?SELL0.5631921796$417.84
07-19 21:39World Cup Finals: Final Score Even or Odd?SELL0.001$0.18
07-19 21:21World Cup Finals: Final Score Even or Odd?SELL0.002$0.20
07-19 21:21World Cup Finals: Final Score Even or Odd?SELL0.002$0.21