eCash
0x62cf46cd4c3af254dccfc37a7f93de265b4b5826
- Realised P&L
- $179.3k
- Volume
- $8.54M
- Markets traded
- 506
- Open portfolio
- $254.2k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded506
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$72.8kat 0.459Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$44.1kat 0.719Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?
- +$41.6kat 0.500Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$39.5kat 0.639Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?
- +$31.4kat 0.715Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 13:47 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.67 | $74.34 |
| 08-01 16:22 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | SELL | 0.36 | $73.04 |
| 08-01 16:08 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 08-01 14:17 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.67 | $914.91 |
| 08-01 11:33 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | BUY | 0.6 | $93.00 |
| 08-01 11:04 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $28.36 |
| 07-30 04:15 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.64 | $422.40 |
| 07-29 19:45 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.89 | $1.1k |
| 07-29 19:05 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $253.75 |
| 07-28 15:52 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | SELL | 0.62 | $124.00 |
| 07-26 14:15 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | SELL | 0.562 | $145.04 |
| 07-26 14:12 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | SELL | 0.5631921796 | $417.84 |
| 07-19 21:39 | World Cup Finals: Final Score Even or Odd? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.18 |
| 07-19 21:21 | World Cup Finals: Final Score Even or Odd? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.20 |
| 07-19 21:21 | World Cup Finals: Final Score Even or Odd? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.21 |