WarpSpeed
0x720dc97f38b9988d3b3b033e8f156fd4e82fea38
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $103.3k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $15.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.960 | $12.5k | +$251.84 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.690 | $1.5k | −$88.22 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.125 | 0.135 | $1.4k | +$98.51 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No | 0.645 | 0.113 | $1.13 | −$5.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$813.13at 0.946Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
- +$340.57at 0.942Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- +$134.52at 0.967Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?
- +$91.01at 0.986Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
- +$77.15at 0.975Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 03:34 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9818780315 | $8.3k |
| 06-23 10:01 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.938 | $938.00 |
| 06-23 09:59 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 06-23 09:59 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.5k |
| 06-23 09:57 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.969 | $133.39 |
| 06-23 09:53 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $15.8k |
| 06-23 08:36 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.062 | $223.20 |
| 04-27 13:50 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $570.00 |
| 04-09 15:46 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.976 | $128.04 |
| 04-09 15:46 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.645 | $6.45 |
| 03-31 15:04 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.991 | $991.00 |
| 03-29 18:34 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.6k |
| 03-29 18:24 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $186.00 |
| 03-29 18:23 | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.0k |
| 03-07 13:48 | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $2.0k |