PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

WarpSpeed

0x720dc97f38b9988d3b3b033e8f156fd4e82fea38

Realised P&L
$1.6k
Volume
$103.3k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$15.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration55.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9400.960$12.5k+$251.84
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? · Yes0.7300.690$1.5k$88.22
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1250.135$1.4k+$98.51
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.6450.113$1.13$5.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-24 03:34Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?SELL0.9818780315$8.3k
06-23 10:01Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.938$938.00
06-23 09:59Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.15$15.00
06-23 09:59Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.97$1.5k
06-23 09:57Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.969$133.39
06-23 09:53Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?SELL0.997$15.8k
06-23 08:36Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.062$223.20
04-27 13:50Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.95$570.00
04-09 15:46Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.976$128.04
04-09 15:46Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.645$6.45
03-31 15:04Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.991$991.00
03-29 18:34Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.93$4.6k
03-29 18:24Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.93$186.00
03-29 18:23Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?SELL0.999$7.0k
03-07 13:48Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?BUY0.988$2.0k