PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

TronOG

0x77c344e1715c35d1424881c14e5a9f6911dd00c8

Realised P&L
$42.5k
Volume
$2.10M
Markets traded
344
Open portfolio
$84.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded344
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.9270.951$21.9k+$542.76
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8480.935$19.6k+$1.8k
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? · No0.9360.979$17.4k+$751.14
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · No0.8870.915$10.1k+$305.05
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? · Yes0.9411.000$5.9k+$347.83
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · Yes0.9891.000$5.6k+$56.31
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? · No0.8120.790$2.4k$68.23
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31? · No0.9740.984$629.19+$6.08
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026? · No0.8200.989$296.70+$50.70
Iran coup attempt by December 31? · No0.8300.890$267.00+$18.00
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1000.128$231.82+$49.18
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.6040.205$161.36$313.85
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.6500.113$113.38$542.12
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1630.095$81.03$57.97
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0190.006$14.37$31.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 03:02Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0056052522$2.70
08-02 02:56Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.978$360.66
08-02 02:56Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.978$1.1k
08-02 02:56Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.9791076963$1.5k
08-01 18:26Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.61$122.00
08-01 18:22Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.6278021737$571.29
08-01 18:22Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.6$80.40
08-01 17:08Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?BUY0.945$3.8k
08-01 13:29Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.76$760.00
08-01 00:41Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.82$1.1k
07-31 21:45Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.6993839501$321.85
07-31 21:43Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?SELL0.9980613297$16.8k
07-31 21:03Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?BUY0.9929291283$1.4k
07-31 21:03US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.92$917.07
07-31 21:01Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?BUY0.992$346.21