0x7d3ec66a5bb6f84001fc3667d7944b125bda346a
- Realised P&L
- $-4.2k
- Volume
- $167.3k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $9.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.160US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$883.23at 0.200Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
- +$683.80at 0.550US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$323.28at 0.230Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?
- +$314.10at 0.730Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 21:59 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0199084073 | $278.03 |
| 08-01 21:59 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3899999999 | $942.95 |
| 07-10 18:56 | Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2474999964 | $47.10 |
| 07-09 04:26 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.1399999943 | $19.12 |
| 07-09 04:26 | Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $47.60 |
| 07-05 20:35 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.1899999952 | $29.80 |
| 07-02 17:00 | Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.1899999967 | $38.41 |
| 06-30 01:20 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.3799999978 | $58.01 |
| 06-29 16:37 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.189999999 | $144.85 |
| 06-26 17:30 | Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999966 | $51.65 |
| 06-19 20:10 | Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? | BUY | 0.26 | $50.05 |
| 06-19 20:09 | Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.3 | $96.90 |
| 06-18 03:34 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0132668822 | $282.21 |
| 06-17 19:03 | Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999974 | $49.12 |
| 06-16 05:30 | Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | BUY | 0.129999998 | $50.26 |