PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x7d3ec66a5bb6f84001fc3667d7944b125bda346a

Realised P&L
$-4.2k
Volume
$167.3k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$9.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.5890.290$3.8k$3.9k
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5350.755$2.2k+$643.25
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.3900.655$2.0k+$795.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3900.405$979.22+$36.27
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5940.135$247.14$840.30
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0200.011$160.60$117.42
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$50.05
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$282.19
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? · Yes0.2470.000$0.00$47.10
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$19.12
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$51.65
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$50.26
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$38.41
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00$50.54
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$47.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 21:59Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0199084073$278.03
08-01 21:59Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.3899999999$942.95
07-10 18:56Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY0.2474999964$47.10
07-09 04:26Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.1399999943$19.12
07-09 04:26Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?BUY0.25$47.60
07-05 20:35Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.1899999952$29.80
07-02 17:00Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.1899999967$38.41
06-30 01:20Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.3799999978$58.01
06-29 16:37Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.189999999$144.85
06-26 17:30Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY0.2699999966$51.65
06-19 20:10Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?BUY0.26$50.05
06-19 20:09Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.3$96.90
06-18 03:34Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.0132668822$282.21
06-17 19:03Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?BUY0.2599999974$49.12
06-16 05:30Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?BUY0.129999998$50.26