0x7Ee7B7fe80641bE006601Fce0D43D0CD0A5517b0-1772646139842
0x7ee7b7fe80641be006601fce0d43d0cd0a5517b0
- Realised P&L
- $-20.2k
- Volume
- $1.25M
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $3.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.0kat 0.365Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.342Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
- +$1.0kat 0.387Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
- +$1.0kat 0.637Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?
- +$500.00at 0.250Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-24 16:27 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $112.50 |
| 06-23 09:56 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.09 | $90.00 |
| 06-23 09:06 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $180.00 |
| 06-23 09:03 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $718.49 |
| 06-23 08:48 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $700.00 |
| 06-22 11:33 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $374.96 |
| 06-19 12:15 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.41 | $40.20 |
| 06-19 12:14 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.42 | $1.5k |
| 06-15 21:23 | Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.2202300023 | $440.46 |
| 06-14 21:34 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $58.00 |
| 06-14 21:33 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $37.68 |
| 06-14 21:31 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $38.00 |
| 06-14 21:26 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $44.80 |
| 06-14 21:23 | Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | SELL | 0.0705238105 | $70.52 |
| 06-12 19:41 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.3324182 | $332.42 |