PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

tradingdecs

0x7fc6e183e48e2f7658cd825ff4f40e44e9327306

Realised P&L
$-23.5k
Volume
$1.99M
Markets traded
589
Open portfolio
$5.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded589
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0700.035$2.5k$2.5k
Ebola pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0830.033$439.92$669.90
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5100.565$293.80+$28.55
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.1670.590$251.35+$180.34
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2750.225$247.50$55.50
Will China have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes0.3600.195$200.38$170.07
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes0.3110.315$144.58+$1.81
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.3460.095$135.85$359.04
Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes0.2860.170$108.79$73.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? · Yes0.5700.255$102.00$126.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? · Yes0.6300.405$81.00$45.00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.125$75.00$45.00
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes0.3410.210$71.82$44.78
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0710.015$70.46$252.68
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0080.013$60.82+$24.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 18:49Will Warsh say "Dollar" during July Press Conference?SELL0.991$39.63
07-29 18:45Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference?SELL0.13$1.43
07-29 18:45Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference?SELL0.14$1.11
07-29 18:36Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.15$3.00
07-29 18:33Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference?BUY0.3000534125$5.06
07-29 18:28Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0198833333$35.79
07-29 18:27Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.018$36.00
07-29 17:18Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?BUY0.298$22.35
07-29 17:16Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?BUY0.28$14.00
07-29 17:13Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?BUY0.57$15.39
07-27 16:36US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?SELL0.963$288.94
07-25 17:45Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?SELL0.37$37.00
07-23 20:17Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.014$14.00
07-23 20:15Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.51$265.25
07-23 20:14Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.257$102.80